Michigan’s Win Probability For Remaining Basketball Schedule

Michigan, currently 20-7 on the year, has four games left in the regular season (Iowa, Ohio State, @ Penn State, @ Maryland). Here’s the win probability according to KenPom:

Some rounding involved here, but the cumulative win probabilities for Michigan's final four regular-season games (vs. Iowa, vs. Ohio State, at Penn State, at Maryland) are as followed:
4-0 (24-7) —7.2%
3-1 (23-8) —29.1%
2-2 (22-9) — 40.0%
1-3 (21-10) — 20.9%
0-4 (20-11) — 2.8%

— Zach Shaw (@_ZachShaw) February 12, 2018